A 20-year, ML-ready benchmark of the $1.8T US construction cycle – engineered for quants, funds, and infra analysts.
2005–2024 macro coverage · 2008–2024 federal awards · ~60 region–month features · ~30 award features · event-study ready with price reactions.
Note: This v1 deck focuses on a lean, high-signal feature set. The larger 170-feature Ultra Pro configuration is on the roadmap; current counts and columns are documented in the schema file shipped with the pack.
ConstructAlpha Intelligence Deck is a fused, ML-ready benchmark of US construction activity, built entirely from public sources: Census permits and spend, BLS labor and wages, OSHA safety, USASpending awards, PatentsView innovation, and FRED materials indices.
Instead of juggling 10+ raw feeds, you get one coherent deck with 20 years of aligned monthly data and ~60 engineered features per region–month. It's designed for:
Forecasting construction cycles, cost pressure, and regional risk.
Event-driven plays on builders, materials, and infra names.
Scoring regions and segments on risk, safety, and innovation.
The current Pro release ships with a compact, ML-ready feature set focused on permits, labor, safety, and composite 'heat' indices. The roadmap extends this into a ~170-feature Ultra Pro deck.
Permit units & value, YOY & MOM growth, Z-scores, density metrics, 3-month EWMAs.
Res / nonres / infra spend, CAGRs, per-worker metrics, rolling averages & volatility.
Employment levels & growth, wage metrics, tightness & stress scores, productivity proxies.
OSHA inspections & violations, fatality counts & rates, safety heat scores, risk flags.
Total, infra, military awards, award size & intensity, agency & vendor concentration.
Steel, lumber, concrete PPI, YOY price changes & spikes, composite cost indices.
Construction & green patents, innovation intensity scores, 3-year rolling trends.
Region type encodings, K-means geo clusters (K=10), density & population metrics.
Lags (1, 3, 6, 12 months), rolling windows & EWMAs, realized volatility, trend strength.
Overbuild & infra boom indices, risk index & risk regimes, cycle regime labels.